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The Cost of Listing Above the Market

The Cost of Listing Above the Market

  • Alejandro Mitre

There are 630 active listings on the Pacific corridor (Baja Sur's Pacific coastline between Todos Santos' Las Playitas and Elías Calles, anchored by surf towns like El Pescadero and Cerritos) right now, representing roughly $525 million USD of inventory. I went through all of them looking for one thing: what actually separates a property that sells from a property that sits.

The answer surprised me, take a look at these numbers:

The Pacific Corridor at a glance

Metric

Figure

Active listings

630

Total inventory value

$525 million USD

Median days on market

237

Listings that reduced price

196  (31%)

Median price reduction

13.9%

Median DOM — listings that reduced

357 days

Median DOM — listings that never reduced

163 days

Active more than 1 year

173

Active more than 2 years

45


The number

196 of those 630 listings have reduced their price. That is 31%, or nearly one in three. The median reduction is 13.9% off the original asking price.

Here is the part worth reading twice.

Properties that have reduced their price have been on the market a median of 357 days. Properties that have never reduced sit at 163 days.

More than double.

What that means

The instinct is to read this backwards. It looks like reducing the price causes a listing to sit longer, which makes no sense.

It is the other way around. The reduction is not the cause. It is the receipt.

A property that has cut its price 14% after a year on the market was almost always mispriced on day one. The seller spent twelve months discovering what a good comparative analysis would have told them in an afternoon. Meanwhile the listing accumulated days on market, which every serious buyer and every agent in the area can see.

This is not about discounting the property. It is about controlling the strategy.

The cost of the first ninety days

In our market, a listing gets its strongest attention in the first weeks it is live. Buyers here are highly comparative. They watch inventory for months before they fly down, and they notice which properties keep appearing in their inbox at a lower number each time.

Once a property has been listed for a year, the conversation changes. The buyer stops asking “is this worth the price” and starts asking “what is wrong with it.” At that point you are no longer negotiating from strength. The risk is not simply extended exposure, it is weakening negotiating power.

173 listings in the Pacific corridor have now been active for more than a year. 45 of them have passed two years. Of the properties over a year old, 97 have already cut their price at least once, and they are still on the market.

Where it happens

The pattern holds across the whole corridor, with some variation.

Community

Median reduction

Listings reduced

Elías Calles

21.0%

11

Todos Santos North

15.1%

12

Pescadero / Cerritos

13.5%

97

Todos Santos

12.5%

76

Land and homes behave almost identically. 30% of land listings have reduced, against 32.5% of residential. Nobody is immune.

The extremes are worth noting. 52 listings have come down more than 20% from their original ask. 26 have come down more than 30%. The steepest reduction in the corridor is 62%.

Correct pricing is not cheap pricing

Let me be clear about one thing, because it gets misread constantly. The goal was never to sell your property fast. The goal is to sell it for the highest number the market will actually pay. Speed is not the objective, it is the evidence that we found that number. Here is what happens when a seller aims above it.

Among the 228 homes on the Pacific corridor today, the ones that have reduced their price started at a median ask of $862,500. They are now asking $710,000. They have been on the market 270 days and they have not sold.

The homes that never reduced are asking $654,500, and they have been listed 115 days.

Residential listings

Reduced price

Never reduced

Original asking price

$862,500

Current asking price

$710,000

$654,500

Given back so far

$152,500

$0

Median days on market

270

115

Read those two columns against each other. The ambitious seller listed 32% above where the disciplined seller is priced. He has already handed back $152,500 of that. He is still holding the property, still paying to carry it, and still negotiating with buyers who can see exactly how long it has been sitting and exactly how far the number has moved.

The disciplined seller is close to done.

The gap widens the harder you push it. Listings that cut less than 10% have been on the market a median of 297 days. Listings that cut more than 30% have been on the market 537 days. Half of all reduced listings on the corridor have now passed a year. Among listings that never reduced, only 17.5% have.

What the overpricing actually costs

What happens at the closing table is not in this dataset, we only have active inventory here. But the direction is not hard to see.

A buyer negotiating against a 400-day listing with visible price drops is not in the same position as a buyer looking at something fresh and correctly priced. The first one knows he is the only person in the room. The second one knows he has competition. That difference is worth real money, and it does not go to the seller.

So the overpriced listing does not only cost you time. It costs you the premium you were trying to protect in the first place. You start above the market, and you finish below it.

This is not about listing your property cheap. It is about listing it where the market bids it up instead of grinding it down.

What I tell sellers

The market on the Pacific is not weak. It is selective, and it is well informed. Buyers arrive with the same data I just gave you.

For that reason, my recommendation is always the same. Price it correctly the first time, invest in the presentation, and protect those first ninety days. A property priced right from the start does not need a reduction, it does not carry a year of history into the negotiation, and it is the version of your listing that holds its number.

Our role is to protect your final outcome, not just the list price.

At the end, the properties that sell well here are not the cheapest ones. They are the ones that never had to explain themselves.

Alejandro Mitre — The Agency Todos Santos

Data: Analysis of 630 MLS listings, Pacific North and Pacific South, as of August 2026. 

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